empty
05.05.2025 05:35 PM
USD/CHF: Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

The USD/CHF pair remains under pressure at the start of the new week, attracting sellers for the second day in a row, weighed down by several factors. However, spot prices remain confined within the familiar range observed over the past two weeks.

The NFP (Nonfarm Payrolls) employment report shifted expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut from June to July by 25 basis points. Rising economic uncertainty tied to tariffs and President Trump's policies continues to weigh on the dollar, prompting investors to favor safer assets such as the Swiss franc.

Trump's rapidly shifting trade policy toward China continues to fuel uncertainty in the markets. In addition, renewed escalations in Middle East conflicts are contributing to increased geopolitical risks. Investors remain cautious, which affects their risk appetite.

Nonetheless, ahead of this week's key central bank events—specifically the Fed's interest rate decision at the conclusion of its two-day meeting on Wednesday—investors are reluctant to aggressively sell the dollar. Today's release of the U.S. ISM Services PMI is seen as a potential short-term trading opportunity.

From a technical perspective, the nearest resistance for the pair lies at the 0.8275 level, followed by 0.8340. However, as long as the oscillators on the daily chart remain firmly in negative territory, the path of least resistance for the USD/CHF pair is to the downside.

A decisive break below the psychological level of 0.8200 would accelerate the decline toward the next support at 0.8189. Failure to defend this zone could lead to deeper losses, potentially revisiting April's lows.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Irina Yanina
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Trump Throws Markets into Chaos Again (EUR/USD and GBP/USD May See Local Gains)

The United States' renewed activity in the trade war—this time with the personal involvement of the American president—has significantly increased volatility in financial markets. The intensifying domestic political struggle within

Pati Gani 10:09 2025-08-06 UTC+2

The Market Fell Flat, Buying the Dip in Vain

The specter of stagflation is once again haunting financial markets. The ISM services employment index has declined for the fifth time in the past six months, while the price index

Marek Petkovich 09:10 2025-08-06 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on August 6? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Only one macroeconomic report is scheduled for Wednesday. In the morning, the European Union will release its retail sales report, which is unlikely to be considered significant. For example, yesterday's

Paolo Greco 06:57 2025-08-06 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – August 6: Trust in U.S. Institutions Is Rapidly Declining

The EUR/USD currency pair traded fairly calmly again on Tuesday, as if nothing dramatic or significant had happened the previous week. But that's not the case. Simply listing

Paolo Greco 04:07 2025-08-06 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – August 6: The British Pound Awaits the Bank of England's Verdict

On Tuesday, the GBP/USD currency pair spent most of the day moving sideways. This is not surprising, as there were no significant events in at least the first half

Paolo Greco 04:07 2025-08-06 UTC+2

Donald Trump's Ministry of Truth

Previously, I already drew an allegory between the events surrounding the U.S. Bureau of Statistics and Donald Trump and George Orwell's novel 1984 . In my view, Trump has read

Chin Zhao 00:42 2025-08-06 UTC+2

EUR/USD. On the Brink: U.S. Services Activity Index Falls to 50.1

The ISM Services reading turned out to be unfavorable for the dollar. This key macroeconomic indicator remained in expansion territory but showed a downward trend, contrary to growth expectations. Many

Irina Manzenko 00:42 2025-08-06 UTC+2

The Dollar Wields a Double-Edged Sword

Donald Trump's policies are a double-edged sword for EUR/USD. On one hand, the U.S. president's attacks on Jerome Powell and the dismissal of the head of the Bureau of Labor

Marek Petkovich 00:42 2025-08-06 UTC+2

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

On Tuesday, gold continues its sideways consolidation but remains near the two-week high reached the day before. The U.S. dollar is regaining ground, partially recovering losses from Friday's session caused

Irina Yanina 11:43 2025-08-05 UTC+2

The EU Expects Lower Car Tariffs and Exemptions

While the euro attempts to determine its next direction, media reports suggest that the European Union expects U.S. President Donald Trump to announce measures this week that would formally lock

Jakub Novak 11:20 2025-08-05 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.